Watch out! Bold prediction ahead: Jeff Zananiri tells us not to let the market rally fool you:
The market will hit new lows this year.
To help traders take advantage of big money using his decades of Wall Street experience, he makes Ask The Pros viewers a special offer. Get his next 9 trades — available immediately — at a rock bottom price. These trades have been killing it all throughout 2022 even while markets have been choppy and hitting new lows. Don’t miss out, grab Jeff’s Money Flows Elite right now.
On this week’s show, Geof Smith, Markay Latimer, and Jeff Zananiri.
Prefer to read this episode? Click below,
Show transcripts are auto-generated by computer, so they won’t be perfect.
If something doesn’t make sense, you can skip to the timestamp in the video above to hear it. Questions? Drop us a line.
►Click To View This Episode's Transcript◄1 00:00:00.000 --> 00:00:01.050 It is 12. 2 00:00:02.310 --> 00:00:12.269 Celeste Lindman: And my name is Celeste Lindman and I'm so glad that you are here with us on this, you know first Friday of August, can you believe it, especially after that record writing July, I mean. 3 00:00:12.570 --> 00:00:23.730 Celeste Lindman: Where is the market heading next after this payroll report this morning, what did you think about that we want to know where it's going and how we can get on the right side of the market so we're going to find out about that, today, but hey guys gals. 4 00:00:24.060 --> 00:00:28.110 Celeste Lindman: I got a real quick question for you, before we get started and Jeff van and i'm going to start with. 5 00:00:28.110 --> 00:00:28.530 Geof Smith: You. 6 00:00:28.860 --> 00:00:36.750 Celeste Lindman: What do you make of the market sudden plunge and then that reversal reaction to that ginormous payrolls numbers, we kick off August. 7 00:00:37.710 --> 00:00:47.970 Jeff Zananiri: Zero surprise, I have a I actually can write i'm literate and I wrote a wrote a written research report on Monday, not my usual videos of screaming and cursing. 8 00:00:48.480 --> 00:00:57.420 Jeff Zananiri: And I said that this jobs number this week, if it's if it's too good could lead to selling because what happened in July. 9 00:00:58.080 --> 00:01:02.730 Jeff Zananiri: Is the stock market got a head of the Fed and said inflation's done. 10 00:01:03.180 --> 00:01:13.410 Jeff Zananiri: Market softening these guys are going to have to lower rates in 2023 and he actually saw two year yields collapse, he saw the 10 year yields collapse, and then it was party time. 11 00:01:13.800 --> 00:01:21.240 Jeff Zananiri: And everybody started buying all of the all of the the growth stocks that have been hammered over 50% this year, but then today. 12 00:01:21.810 --> 00:01:32.550 Jeff Zananiri: They were looking for 250,000 non farm payroll jobs created in July and they got north of 520,000 new jobs in July, which gives the Fed. 13 00:01:33.000 --> 00:01:48.870 Jeff Zananiri: More runway to do what they have to do anyways which is keep rates steadily increasing until inflation comes under control so it's kind of it's going to be that case back and forth all year where the market gets excited and then gets disappointed based on. 14 00:01:50.010 --> 00:02:02.250 Jeff Zananiri: What the Fed has to do and inflation appearing and disappearing it's my case it's my base case that inflation is not taking it has not been tagged and it's going to take a little while it's going to be a process it's gonna be a process. 15 00:02:02.460 --> 00:02:08.400 Celeste Lindman: And we'll look forward to hearing a little bit more about that as we keep moving along just Smith what's your take on what happened this morning. 16 00:02:09.540 --> 00:02:10.050 Geof Smith: i'm. 17 00:02:10.260 --> 00:02:17.070 Geof Smith: Actually, I was kind of surprised the more than doubled the expectation I figured it'd be a little bit better, but not that much. 18 00:02:18.150 --> 00:02:28.650 Geof Smith: And I agree with Jeff I figured the film is really good news they're probably going to sell this market off just because Well now, the Fed wants to probably raise more rates and. 19 00:02:30.120 --> 00:02:36.990 Geof Smith: One thing I was really interested in a lot of times when you see that reaction at 830 off the news. 20 00:02:38.160 --> 00:02:46.920 Geof Smith: Actually, the report was a good report, if you think about it, I mean it really was a good report, you can't disagree with that and so at the open on the market, the. 21 00:02:47.730 --> 00:02:51.810 Geof Smith: Traders out there, said hey you know what that's a pretty good report, and so they popped it up. 22 00:02:52.350 --> 00:02:56.760 Geof Smith: Now they've kind of corrected it back a little bit since then, but they've had a nice little rally off of that. 23 00:02:57.600 --> 00:03:07.920 Geof Smith: They didn't the the Russell outperformed actually made a new high on the day on that rally but the Dow the NASDAQ and s&p did not so they've kind of rolled things back over a little bit. 24 00:03:09.270 --> 00:03:17.670 Geof Smith: And you know I I still think that know this mark is probably more bullish than it is bearish but they haven't really proved that to me yet. 25 00:03:19.440 --> 00:03:36.600 Celeste Lindman: yeah well said I seen it in that 200 day moving average for one thing, anyway, technically speaking, but great thanks for that Jeff looking forward to hearing some more very kind of inside information from you a little bit later hey mark hey you know sega voice. 26 00:03:36.630 --> 00:03:40.530 Celeste Lindman: But hey, what is your thought on what happened this morning, the reaction. 27 00:03:42.000 --> 00:03:53.310 Markay Latimer: You know I rarely dig into the actual numbers what I like to look at is the reaction how the markets are moving, so I watched the, the SNP a lot in particular the spiders. 28 00:03:53.790 --> 00:04:04.860 Markay Latimer: And I never trust that first opening move because I feel like things are always overdone one way or another, and then you have some kind of movement, if things. 29 00:04:05.190 --> 00:04:10.320 Markay Latimer: Typical overreaction one way in today's case it was a bearish overreaction. 30 00:04:10.740 --> 00:04:19.770 Markay Latimer: Then we get this you know everybody's excited oh that's over done so, you get this rally and here we are sitting right back at the opening we're right at that first five minute candle from today. 31 00:04:20.190 --> 00:04:27.420 Markay Latimer: So I find that to be pretty telling where we didn't have a gap down and then rally all day long, it was so far. 32 00:04:27.690 --> 00:04:38.370 Markay Latimer: we've just gone to neutral again so kind of tells us overreaction early that overreaction the opposite way now we're just coming back and now everybody's having a moment to calm down and figure out okay. 33 00:04:38.760 --> 00:04:45.300 Markay Latimer: What does this really mean going forward i'm still kind of short term bullish but longer term, I think we have another big leg down. 34 00:04:46.050 --> 00:04:52.200 Markay Latimer: we'll see you know comes to me of it we talked about this yesterday, and I can talk a little bit more about it but there's like a. 35 00:04:52.980 --> 00:05:05.670 Markay Latimer: lot of talk of massive bankruptcies coming in the fall tons record numbers of credit cards that were opened here recently, so there are a lot of things like that that I think could put pressure in the fall on her markets. 36 00:05:06.000 --> 00:05:08.220 Celeste Lindman: yeah very, very, very telling. 37 00:05:08.790 --> 00:05:21.090 Celeste Lindman: A couple of what are the tale of two markets, we have going on we're going to find out a lot about kind of what's going on underneath here, so you can see, already everybody that we have a fantastic crew lined up for you, with great. 38 00:05:21.630 --> 00:05:27.510 Celeste Lindman: insight that they're going to share with you so let's get started, I want to introduce these guys and gals we got Jeff Smith, of course. 39 00:05:27.840 --> 00:05:33.330 Celeste Lindman: Love having Jeff Smith on here because he's the one that really taught me how to really look at these markets. 40 00:05:33.570 --> 00:05:40.710 Celeste Lindman: On this 24 hour perspective, it has been so helpful completely changed the way I trade and make money so very thankful for that. 41 00:05:41.010 --> 00:05:45.780 Celeste Lindman: And he is a mechanical engineer by trade he's been trading, since he was 17 years old. 42 00:05:46.020 --> 00:05:55.710 Celeste Lindman: He is the chief instructor at DTI and he trade stocks and options and futures anything that moves and a lot of things that go move as well too with all those commodities. 43 00:05:56.010 --> 00:06:03.600 Celeste Lindman: and glad to have Jeff with us glad glad also that we have mark a bag with us and, especially, having been under the weather, but. 44 00:06:03.810 --> 00:06:08.760 Celeste Lindman: This Gal she's phenomenal at teaching and showing people how to make money in the market. 45 00:06:09.030 --> 00:06:15.270 Celeste Lindman: and see these different patterns and marketing last time you were here, you were talking about that bottoming market that was so helpful thanks for sharing that. 46 00:06:15.570 --> 00:06:27.690 Celeste Lindman: And if she has shared this information with this thousands all over the globe and she is really famous returning 2000 into 2 million and that's something significant you know $2 million. 47 00:06:28.140 --> 00:06:33.120 Celeste Lindman: Being able to trade in a market that way, and of course she's had ups and downs it's not been straight up. 48 00:06:33.660 --> 00:06:43.200 Celeste Lindman: But she has really just mastered this art of trading and she shares that with us so we're thankful for that and then so glad to have jepsen and are back with us he's got two decades. 49 00:06:43.710 --> 00:06:59.580 Celeste Lindman: And more of experience on Wall Street, which included that financial crises timeframe as well, so he's got that experience and that's also that timeframe, where he went 10 years 10 years without a losing quarter, I think you need to listen to this guy. 50 00:06:59.760 --> 00:07:01.500 Celeste Lindman: that's huge huge huge huge. 51 00:07:01.620 --> 00:07:08.880 Celeste Lindman: Help grow pan capital from 5 million to over 700 million he's been with all types of hedge funds, you know first New York Bear Stearns. 52 00:07:09.120 --> 00:07:15.450 Celeste Lindman: Working in the financial markets has a lot of experience we're glad that all of you guys are with us today, and you know what. 53 00:07:15.750 --> 00:07:23.880 Celeste Lindman: We bring them here because we have risk in the market, always there is risk in the market y'all need to know that and understand that, before you ever click that mouse. 54 00:07:24.090 --> 00:07:34.950 Celeste Lindman: know what you're trading we come here, week after week with examples we're not promising anything we're not guaranteeing anything we're just showing you ways that we are looking at the markets and in a way to help you. 55 00:07:35.280 --> 00:07:52.050 Celeste Lindman: be able to do the same thing so make sure you understand that risk, and with that just Smith, help us understand this risk you I really want to hear what you have to say about August, but I really want our audience to hear about what you notice in the CIA report, so can you fill us in. 56 00:07:52.920 --> 00:08:12.900 Geof Smith: um yeah the um I mean I got kind of a conspiracy theory on that thing um you look at you know the they keep coming out and telling us that the demand is dropping for gasoline he says no drop like 7% last month and I would just like what and so when you look at the reports. 57 00:08:14.280 --> 00:08:27.420 Geof Smith: I mean, I always like to I can go to investing calm and click on the report and they give you this table so grab all that and throw it to an excel spreadsheet and start adding things up the past six months for the whole year and we're. 58 00:08:27.450 --> 00:08:28.140 Celeste Lindman: pretty much. 59 00:08:28.230 --> 00:08:28.920 Geof Smith: As far as. 60 00:08:29.100 --> 00:08:39.870 Geof Smith: Production is going pretty much break even on the year as far as the inventories looking at that way, so we don't have an excess inventories. 61 00:08:40.920 --> 00:08:49.560 Geof Smith: And as far as I know, I mean I see like in this jobs report, I mean everybody's going back to work, that means more driving right so. 62 00:08:50.460 --> 00:08:58.080 Geof Smith: Why is crude and gasoline dying off so much now, I get the inflation thing they're going to be picky about how much gas they put in their car. 63 00:08:58.830 --> 00:09:14.790 Geof Smith: You can go in there and go okay well i'm only going to put 25 bucks in as opposed to fill up my tank I get that part so you're probably having a little bit less demand there, but you I mean you go over to the Middle East they're paying record prices for gasoline over there. 64 00:09:15.840 --> 00:09:26.880 Geof Smith: Coming out of Saudi Arabia or Russia or whatever it is they're paying record prices, so I don't see how our crude oil and gasoline is getting so cheap now I expected it to come down some. 65 00:09:27.780 --> 00:09:35.820 Geof Smith: But you've seen gasoline prices go up $4 and 30 cents a gallon down to 285 I mean wow that's quite a drop. 66 00:09:36.870 --> 00:09:41.790 Geof Smith: So I don't know if the EIA petroleum status reports are actually giving us a true. 67 00:09:43.050 --> 00:09:45.960 Geof Smith: image of what's going on as far as her crude oil inventories. 68 00:09:46.200 --> 00:09:57.630 Geof Smith: Not only that, I mean they had a computer systems wigging out on about a month ago and they didn't put out an Ai petroleum status report, one week in fact they didn't do that quite a few reports actually got the natural gas report out. 69 00:09:58.740 --> 00:10:07.590 Geof Smith: And ever since then, the numbers have been kind of weird and I don't know if they've got something calculating wrong, I mean i'm going to give them the benefit of the doubt on that. 70 00:10:08.490 --> 00:10:18.030 Geof Smith: If not they're cooking the numbers, so I don't know which it is, but I mean that's going to be driving cruelty gasoline around by doing that, I mean I. 71 00:10:18.480 --> 00:10:26.850 Geof Smith: There over there, Pat themselves on backstage and see all the stuff that we've done we've got the price of gasoline down well yeah but I don't know how long that can last. 72 00:10:27.630 --> 00:10:37.080 Geof Smith: So, even though we are down i'm just a little cautious of shorten this thing just because they might just all of a sudden find out real fast hey. 73 00:10:38.220 --> 00:10:46.320 Geof Smith: We do have high demand and we can't keep up with demand and therefore it's been and put higher prices back into gasoline and crew. 74 00:10:46.830 --> 00:11:04.560 Geof Smith: So i'm a little cautious to the short side on that, right now, I mean I expected me once they broke below 100 probably the test that 95 to 90 area i'm not bust 90 so that they did that but yeah that's kind of what i'm looking at them as far as know the other. 75 00:11:05.970 --> 00:11:17.790 Geof Smith: Know futures and things like that we're now just ending the know harvest lows and wheat and they should start kind of bouncing up out of here, probably, starting in the next 234 weeks. 76 00:11:18.330 --> 00:11:28.260 Geof Smith: you'll usually see some weakness and soybeans and corn going into the to the fall so i'm just kind of sitting back and watch and see what to do right now August is a real good time. 77 00:11:28.890 --> 00:11:36.270 Geof Smith: Just to kind of sit back and watch, you know the grain guys usually we have no the meats moving up pretty well right now than they are. 78 00:11:37.380 --> 00:11:43.020 Geof Smith: But you know as far as the grains go I probably just kind of leave them alone for a little bit and, as far as August. 79 00:11:44.190 --> 00:11:53.100 Geof Smith: You know, if you look back, historically, that the middle of July to the middle of August is using the dog days, the market dog days of summer. 80 00:11:53.550 --> 00:12:03.750 Geof Smith: And a lot of times you'll see a to a choppy market then i've seen note in the past that you know we make lows and March make another low in August, you know, on the year. 81 00:12:04.200 --> 00:12:10.860 Geof Smith: So I always when we get to August kind of sitting back saying well let's just kind of see what it does, I mean. 82 00:12:11.520 --> 00:12:23.760 Geof Smith: If they can get it back about 4170 on the s&p okay let's go up if they can take it blow 4080 on the s&p okay we're going down so that's my range so i'm still in the middle of that range. 83 00:12:24.960 --> 00:12:29.400 Geof Smith: Until we break that range it's just a day traders market, though. 84 00:12:30.690 --> 00:12:37.980 Celeste Lindman: Great excellent yeah that's good you repeat that range, I want to make sure everybody gets that so you can be watching those numbers as. 85 00:12:38.130 --> 00:12:39.270 August unfolds. 86 00:12:42.210 --> 00:12:42.930 Celeste Lindman: Jeff on. 87 00:12:43.320 --> 00:12:44.010 Celeste Lindman: What were your number. 88 00:12:45.030 --> 00:13:00.570 Celeste Lindman: yeah okay perfect yeah he's going to type those into the chat well that's really interesting Jeff I really interesting about what you noticed on the a report and you would be the guy to do that, because you come through that so we all appreciate that and. 89 00:13:00.810 --> 00:13:02.130 Celeste Lindman: benefit from it, so thank you. 90 00:13:02.430 --> 00:13:10.770 Celeste Lindman: hey mark hey let's roll on over to you now and hear a little bit more about August and September, you know when we talked yesterday. 91 00:13:11.130 --> 00:13:18.570 Celeste Lindman: And started the conversation I was asking you about you know hey, what do you think about August we think about September, and you kind of said well if the payroll number is huge. 92 00:13:18.750 --> 00:13:30.750 Celeste Lindman: which was really insightful, given that we didn't know what the number was going to be right, so I wonder if you can share with the audience more of your thoughts what you shared with us yesterday about August direction and also september's direction. 93 00:13:32.190 --> 00:13:45.450 Markay Latimer: yeah and it's kind of I feel like a lot of this is just cyclical even your regardless of the inflation and all of that news that we've had last time we met, which I think Maybe it was a month ago, is that right, maybe, where I was. 94 00:13:45.510 --> 00:13:46.290 Markay Latimer: showing you guys. 95 00:13:47.070 --> 00:13:53.550 Markay Latimer: The bottoms the markets turned really bullish but we hadn't really rallied yet, but we had a lot of strong bottoming patterns. 96 00:13:53.910 --> 00:13:59.910 Markay Latimer: And since then we've had this good rally I feel like a lot of that had to do with earnings and moving into earning season. 97 00:14:00.240 --> 00:14:06.180 Markay Latimer: So now we're kind of getting towards the tail end a little bit you know we're still in the middle of it is still a lot of earnings. 98 00:14:06.570 --> 00:14:16.230 Markay Latimer: But over the next couple weeks that will start trickling down and we get to August and so Actually, this is a good time to trade that last week or two of August. 99 00:14:17.070 --> 00:14:28.350 Markay Latimer: You know, like just say really might be just day trading kind of markets are really short term because you get a lot of the big money managers and whatnot they're on vacation the last hurrah of summer. 100 00:14:28.710 --> 00:14:37.470 Markay Latimer: So you typically see volume lighten up anyway that time, so I find the markets go really choppy at the very, very end of August so we've treated pretty you know. 101 00:14:37.770 --> 00:14:43.050 Markay Latimer: kind of like what we usually see good momentum through earnings and then I would expect it to slow down. 102 00:14:43.500 --> 00:14:53.100 Markay Latimer: Now, after Labor day I feel like there's something about that three day weekend that doesn't always, but it can sometimes kind of reset the tone of the markets and it's. 103 00:14:53.460 --> 00:15:00.060 Markay Latimer: Not the weekend, but it's just that, after Labor day it's back to business right everybody's back to you know. 104 00:15:00.360 --> 00:15:08.220 Markay Latimer: The fall we're looking at where the markets going what's happening to the holidays and all of that, the focus goes away from holiday and summertime. 105 00:15:08.490 --> 00:15:15.840 Markay Latimer: And everybody's back to work so kind of has that feel to me so a lot of times you see a new shift in the markets, and it may be. 106 00:15:16.230 --> 00:15:24.960 Markay Latimer: That we go really bearish, then we might see the start of a downtrend I never I never predict a dislike a usually I feel like. 107 00:15:25.320 --> 00:15:31.830 Markay Latimer: After that holiday, we tend to have more clear direction, one way or another, the thing that makes me. 108 00:15:32.550 --> 00:15:41.310 Markay Latimer: If I had to pick lean a little bit more bearish is that that I do have just the inflation that it's not been taken care of it's not going away. 109 00:15:41.880 --> 00:15:53.850 Markay Latimer: We still have it for a while we've got credit cards, I mentioned this at the start, there were 233 million new credit cards that were opened in the second quarter of this year. 110 00:15:54.420 --> 00:16:03.780 Markay Latimer: It just seems like a lot and I feel like that kind of goes to the pain that a lot of people are feeling, you know, even though we saw that the Fed Governor, who has it came out and said. 111 00:16:04.170 --> 00:16:14.790 Markay Latimer: That doesn't affect me miss her salary of $450,000 a year it doesn't affect her, but what a lot of people, it does affect me it really does it's hurting people. 112 00:16:15.120 --> 00:16:23.550 Markay Latimer: The money they're paying for food and and the inflation that you see everywhere, so all of this stuff is affecting them, the price of gas, as we know, even though it's coming down. 113 00:16:24.000 --> 00:16:30.330 Markay Latimer: And the government like loves to put their spin it's still a lot higher than it has been so all of that stuff. 114 00:16:30.870 --> 00:16:40.500 Markay Latimer: diminishes the individual you know most most people they're expendable income right so that's hurting and I think that's what we see in those credit card. 115 00:16:40.950 --> 00:16:53.370 Markay Latimer: New credit cards being issued and then you know, moving on to like the the landlord owners and the people haven't been paying rent and what are they going to do, and is that continue. 116 00:16:54.120 --> 00:16:59.940 Markay Latimer: The other people that haven't been paying rent and now are they going to be able to pay if they have to start paying again all of those things. 117 00:17:00.360 --> 00:17:14.910 Markay Latimer: it's kind of the perfect storm to set us off for a bearish move in the fall so i'm ready for that if it happens if it doesn't and the markets are bullish that's fine and we say we have to fake you have to trade, the tape read the tape and trade what what you see in the charts. 118 00:17:15.930 --> 00:17:26.100 Markay Latimer: But I think there's a pretty good case to be built for this being this nice little bullishness through earnings and maybe the markets breaking down for maybe one last leg down here in the fall. 119 00:17:26.940 --> 00:17:34.740 Markay Latimer: And if i'm wrong great even better because I love a bullish market, so if i'm wrong and we do see these markets continue to put in bottoms. 120 00:17:35.220 --> 00:17:45.060 Markay Latimer: Importantly, right now, we're so many stocks had bottomed out and rallied to new, more recent highs you know, not all time highs but they've had a good upswing. 121 00:17:45.510 --> 00:17:49.830 Markay Latimer: I really want to pay attention here throughout this afternoon and early next week. 122 00:17:50.520 --> 00:18:04.500 Markay Latimer: We will probably have a little more of a pullback does that pullback bring in more buyers or does that pull that caused a bunch of fear and do we break down so it's that classic can we maintain an uptrend here and we're pretty close to finding out. 123 00:18:05.190 --> 00:18:10.770 Celeste Lindman: Interesting very good notice that mark was talking about time really what she's waiting for. 124 00:18:11.070 --> 00:18:20.790 Celeste Lindman: allowing a little bit more time to play out in the market, which is also really kind of what Jeff was saying, as well with that range seeing how it's all going to play out hey, what can I back and ask. 125 00:18:21.120 --> 00:18:30.660 Celeste Lindman: ask you a quick question mark a, are there any you know stock market areas that you're looking at here in the month of August, as you kind of start to prepare. 126 00:18:31.440 --> 00:18:40.080 Markay Latimer: Yes, so I started looking at retail of maybe because they still a lot of them still have earnings, that will be coming out here they're kind of the lagger in earning season. 127 00:18:40.410 --> 00:18:52.740 Markay Latimer: And then you know as much as I don't like walking into costco and seeing Christmas toys out already it yeah i'm i'm the person that I will take summer all year long so i'm not excited about this, however. 128 00:18:53.340 --> 00:18:58.260 Markay Latimer: It is something as a trader, you have to start thinking ahead if you're thinking retail stuffs. 129 00:18:58.680 --> 00:19:08.370 Markay Latimer: Black Friday is not the time, the better trades will come in September, and you know October even maybe a little bit August so i'm starting to look at that. 130 00:19:08.910 --> 00:19:18.570 Markay Latimer: i've also seen couple interesting stocks coming up on my scans us still and still dynamics and they've done pretty well today and the last couple of days. 131 00:19:19.140 --> 00:19:25.740 Markay Latimer: So i'm starting to look at that sector because it's, one that has rallied they bottomed out really well they've been bullish with the rest of the markets. 132 00:19:26.130 --> 00:19:35.040 Markay Latimer: they've retraced the last several days and started about so that's the sector that i'm watching to see if they can continue more of an uptrend after just being real. 133 00:19:35.370 --> 00:19:43.410 Markay Latimer: brutally beaten down for months and months and months in that sector, so I wonder if that's going to be a maybe another place, we could be putting putting money here this fall. 134 00:19:43.740 --> 00:19:51.720 Celeste Lindman: Interesting will be very, very interesting to watch and see so y'all have the great headlines here to know how to be looking at this market. 135 00:19:52.020 --> 00:20:01.470 Celeste Lindman: hey I want to jump back real quick just know that there was a question in the chat that I didn't catch sorry about that, but so let me jump back to you real quick justin and then we'll go to justin and our next. 136 00:20:02.160 --> 00:20:15.180 Celeste Lindman: But what about you know the heat in the West, you know problems in Ukraine soft should be up you know brazil's doing great here from soybeans you know and China, China, the Middle East Africa be big markets for soy wheat, etc. 137 00:20:16.080 --> 00:20:25.620 Geof Smith: um yeah Brazil is actually the largest exporter of soybeans and corn so that they're not out of the woods quite yet. 138 00:20:26.520 --> 00:20:35.310 Geof Smith: I mean their crop is me they're just now getting planted and stuff like that so we're there in the southern hemisphere, where the northern hemisphere, so when we're. 139 00:20:36.240 --> 00:20:46.860 Geof Smith: harvesting they're planting and harvesting they're planting so on and so forth, so they do kind of keep their eye on what's going on down there right now. 140 00:20:47.790 --> 00:20:55.230 Geof Smith: But they do most of their exporting to Africa and the Middle East and India and stuff like that so. 141 00:20:55.800 --> 00:21:04.650 Geof Smith: In fact, most of their imports actually under inputs their fertilizers and stuff like that will actually come out of like Russia and Ukraine, and things like that. 142 00:21:05.190 --> 00:21:08.160 Geof Smith: were a lot of ours comes from Canada and everything like that so. 143 00:21:09.000 --> 00:21:22.470 Geof Smith: As far as the droughts absolutely that's something you look at Kansas Kansas, I mean couldn't have had a graphic better worse time with all the corner that has didn't hurt her week too bad, but their corn crop is probably going to get smacked pretty hard. 144 00:21:24.300 --> 00:21:31.920 Geof Smith: corn actually needs no I do in the moisture and stuff like that, as a pollinate and without that with the droughts. 145 00:21:33.000 --> 00:21:43.860 Geof Smith: It just not working too well, and not only that even the cattle industry up there is getting hit pretty hard and then, when there's a lot of cows that are dying and the only reason for that you look at the spring. 146 00:21:45.660 --> 00:21:57.570 Geof Smith: I mean they hadn't lost their winter coats Yet if you want to look at it that way, and then we had no 110 degree temperatures up there and Kansas Oklahoma Colorado whatever it was. 147 00:21:58.290 --> 00:22:11.490 Geof Smith: And they couldn't cool down the I mean if they can't cool down, even if they get into the water and they went from you know 6570 degree temperatures to 100 and some odd and they couldn't cool down and killed a bunch of them. 148 00:22:12.450 --> 00:22:22.800 Geof Smith: Which is sad but did so um but didn't do enough to hurt that that industry i'll put it that way you still got a lot of cars everywhere else, but what they are doing you. 149 00:22:23.220 --> 00:22:37.980 Geof Smith: Know throwing them all into the feedlots now so they're heard sizes are decreasing right now I don't know if you all recall what was that 20 1415 where they had that horrible drought out in Texas. 150 00:22:39.030 --> 00:22:47.130 Geof Smith: It did the same them, but it takes about three years to build becca heard so it's going to take a while, probably for them to start building back through hurts. 151 00:22:47.760 --> 00:22:55.860 Geof Smith: But yeah the the drought is going to hurt me quite a bit and that's why you probably see a lot of the the feeder cattle like cattle futures moving higher just because of that. 152 00:22:56.730 --> 00:23:07.650 Celeste Lindman: Okay, another quick question job for you as well Smith about the about commodities, do you expect hyperinflation after the after August and, if so, do you expect commodity rally. 153 00:23:08.700 --> 00:23:14.640 Geof Smith: um well the you look at it, none of the commodities have already done, the rally that actually corrected back some. 154 00:23:15.780 --> 00:23:24.000 Geof Smith: I mean, I think, inflation is not going away if that's what they're asking I don't see an end to it really this year. 155 00:23:25.110 --> 00:23:34.080 Geof Smith: I don't know I just they there's too much money out there, for one thing and you're looking to spend some more looks like to me. 156 00:23:34.530 --> 00:23:47.430 Geof Smith: So I mean I don't just I don't see how those prices are going to come down really I know walmart they have too much inventory and so they're going to be even said hey. 157 00:23:48.030 --> 00:23:54.270 Geof Smith: we're going to be making less money, but we gotta get rid of all this inventory what they should have really done is saying hey. 158 00:23:54.750 --> 00:24:00.540 Geof Smith: we're going to have a great sale this month for the all the kids at school, make it all positive but they didn't do that, they said. 159 00:24:01.140 --> 00:24:13.230 Geof Smith: we're just going to lose money so when I think really in placing is here our dollar, which has kind of helped us out a little bit actually been rallying so we can purchase more with our dollar. 160 00:24:14.670 --> 00:24:22.680 Geof Smith: But I don't know dollars versus getting back below 104 and a half, I think dollars going to start pulling back down it's going to kind of start hurting things more so. 161 00:24:23.850 --> 00:24:28.560 Geof Smith: But at least gasoline a little bit cheaper it's, all I can say yeah that's for sure we're. 162 00:24:28.560 --> 00:24:36.570 Celeste Lindman: Taking advantage of that while we can all right thanks for that justin justin and I want to come back to you, you were saying some really interesting things when we got started here this morning. 163 00:24:36.930 --> 00:24:48.150 Celeste Lindman: and want to want to hear your insights on that you know, like, for example, I benefit because I get to watch you and lance and Roger kind of talk back and forth like you know in real time. 164 00:24:48.480 --> 00:24:56.730 Celeste Lindman: And I was so amazed at how right after that big number and payroll came out you were just like spot on so you said you had done your research you knew you weren't surprised at all. 165 00:24:56.970 --> 00:25:12.090 Celeste Lindman: And you were just quick Johnny on the spot, and she didn't act, you know crazy at all you mean you just like very methodical very methodical So why is that and, more importantly, how are you approaching August, given what you know about jobs and inflation. 166 00:25:12.090 --> 00:25:15.180 Celeste Lindman: Interest rates, you know after July wow. 167 00:25:15.480 --> 00:25:29.130 Jeff Zananiri: Well, so, first of all Hello everyone thanks for having me back on ask the pros always a great treat to start the weekend, they usually drink like 15 seconds after this but I love to be here mark a feel better it's nice to see you again. 168 00:25:29.670 --> 00:25:37.380 Jeff Zananiri: And so, this morning I wasn't taken by surprise because I start every week and I go what the hell is going to move the market, this week and I. 169 00:25:38.040 --> 00:25:50.580 Jeff Zananiri: laser down to big earnings big economic report and there's always a couple of inflection points, a couple of catalysts that's that can be a seismic game changer that can be a regime changer. 170 00:25:51.120 --> 00:26:01.080 Jeff Zananiri: And I just handicap it from there Celeste like I don't know what's going to happen, but I write a month I write a report on Monday I think I recommend everybody to subscribe to it in some joy of the trade. 171 00:26:02.280 --> 00:26:07.260 Jeff Zananiri: it's on wealth press and it's a free report and a handicap the situation so. 172 00:26:07.920 --> 00:26:19.470 Jeff Zananiri: That i'm not surprised I say, well, we could have a big number, we could have a big number I don't know what's gonna happen, nobody knows what's going to happen so let's think about what could happen, and then, what do we expect the market to do if that does happen so. 173 00:26:19.950 --> 00:26:27.750 Jeff Zananiri: I say what we could have a big number if we have a big number we've we've been running like crazy on the idea that the economy is slow big number would be very bearish for growth. 174 00:26:28.170 --> 00:26:35.190 Jeff Zananiri: that's what happens right, but I also had another scenario where I said we could have a week number, we can, or in line number. 175 00:26:35.670 --> 00:26:44.100 Jeff Zananiri: And I said that could also be bearish with how we are running, but it would be bearish in a different way, it will be bearish for commodities and be bearish for the recession case so. 176 00:26:44.640 --> 00:26:48.900 Jeff Zananiri: When I have different scenarios both equal the same reaction and results in the market. 177 00:26:49.290 --> 00:26:57.510 Jeff Zananiri: that's how I handicap six in a nutshell that's why we were I was prepared I had an idea I had a plan gotta have a plan, I mean what I used to sit on the trading desk. 178 00:26:57.810 --> 00:27:05.790 Jeff Zananiri: We would just have like these, like rigorous, what if scenarios like if one of these bombs accidentally landed on Taiwan, that the Chinese were flexing. 179 00:27:06.300 --> 00:27:16.110 Jeff Zananiri: What would that mean to semiconductor index, you know you should have some sort of tangible idea of what that should mean in terms of asset price reaction. 180 00:27:16.440 --> 00:27:22.590 Jeff Zananiri: And so we would always have these exercises as far out as they were as absurd as they could be as black swan. 181 00:27:22.980 --> 00:27:28.830 Jeff Zananiri: You never want to think these things are going to happen, but when your mind is prepared for situations, then you can go into a situation. 182 00:27:29.340 --> 00:27:35.220 Jeff Zananiri: of reacting like a military person that's trained to react to something that's very stressful and saying. 183 00:27:35.610 --> 00:27:42.840 Jeff Zananiri: that's why military people are trained COPs are trained to deal with what's emotionally and psychologically debilitated to a normal normal person. 184 00:27:43.170 --> 00:27:47.610 Jeff Zananiri: They have a process and social traders I teach I teach my traders that but. 185 00:27:48.000 --> 00:27:54.360 Jeff Zananiri: What i'm looking at for August to get to the second part of your question is i'm looking at July that was like unbelievably bullish. 186 00:27:54.600 --> 00:28:00.000 Jeff Zananiri: Based on an incorrect assumption that inflation was gone bye bye and we can move on with our lives. 187 00:28:00.390 --> 00:28:10.170 Jeff Zananiri: And i'm looking at a month as Jeff Smith had pointed out earlier, which is, according to the stock traders almanac historically a very weak a very weak month. 188 00:28:10.530 --> 00:28:20.280 Jeff Zananiri: And so i'm looking at August, has been shopping with still some flares and different pockets of strength because some stocks truly are oversold and have some institutional. 189 00:28:20.820 --> 00:28:33.930 Jeff Zananiri: You know, after the earnings that we just had, but i'm looking broadly at resuming some of the downtrend and I think the fall is going to be super bearish on I do, I think we get another flair and gas and oil can I share my screen. 190 00:28:34.230 --> 00:28:37.410 Celeste Lindman: i'm going to do a little macro tour for five minutes before I get into this. 191 00:28:37.620 --> 00:28:46.860 Jeff Zananiri: exciting presentation that I have but it's much easier if I share my screen hold on a second let's do this so first of all, so. 192 00:28:47.340 --> 00:28:52.530 Jeff Zananiri: What am I talking about when I say growth like ran like crazy in July, this is a, this is a NASDAQ. 193 00:28:53.460 --> 00:29:07.920 Jeff Zananiri: Daily chart on the Bloomberg so we went from 11th hour we bottomed out and shoot around this 10,600 number, but we really started to climb from 11,000 most of the month, and we got all the way up to. 194 00:29:08.430 --> 00:29:21.480 Jeff Zananiri: What was it almost 27 12,787 we're backing off a bit here so we're as Jeff was saying about the SNP i'm looking at the NASDAQ because it's more beat up it's more bearish it's what's really driving the bearish trend. 195 00:29:21.870 --> 00:29:24.900 Jeff Zananiri: And so, people are saying, did we bought them here we're going to make new lows here. 196 00:29:25.440 --> 00:29:32.820 Jeff Zananiri: This year before the year is over, I would bet anyone that's watching ask the pros right now money up on the table let's go. 197 00:29:33.120 --> 00:29:48.390 Jeff Zananiri: If you think we make new highs before we make new lows i'm ready to put whatever you you write the number down let's do this, so I think we may need those but a big reason for that is, if you look at what happened today in this two year window this thing. 198 00:29:49.950 --> 00:29:52.410 Jeff Zananiri: Do you guys mind if I do this macro dorky stuff here. 199 00:29:52.500 --> 00:29:53.880 Celeste Lindman: Oh, we love it it's. 200 00:29:54.120 --> 00:29:54.870 Celeste Lindman: very helpful. 201 00:29:55.140 --> 00:29:57.960 Jeff Zananiri: I like to do it in real time, it makes it a little more interesting so. 202 00:29:58.320 --> 00:30:06.690 Jeff Zananiri: We have this move down in July we're everybody started pricing and rates was coming down, which was bold juice for for growth stocks. 203 00:30:06.960 --> 00:30:13.020 Jeff Zananiri: But look at this move this candle that we just had today, this was a huge move 20 basis points on a two year treasury bonds. 204 00:30:13.350 --> 00:30:24.870 Jeff Zananiri: Is a massive Campbell it's happened a couple of times but it doesn't happen very often and when it does, if you put in the s&p and see what the stock market does what it does it watch this. 205 00:30:25.980 --> 00:30:37.980 Jeff Zananiri: Oh well, it's it doesn't show it as clearly because because it's a good the to your boss moves a lot more, but it goes down quite a bit is the answer, oh there there, you can see there, you can see, so. 206 00:30:38.910 --> 00:30:45.450 Jeff Zananiri: Rates go up stocks go down and that's that's that's it's that simple, especially shorter duration rates so. 207 00:30:45.810 --> 00:30:52.260 Jeff Zananiri: Those are the big things i'm looking at i'm looking at you asked about a sector that I like I I think oil is at the bottom of the range here. 208 00:30:52.650 --> 00:31:03.240 Jeff Zananiri: I think these oil stocks have gotten smashed consolidating here bouncing really nicely on it there with the rest of the market is bearish off of this 200 day moving average here. 209 00:31:03.720 --> 00:31:16.200 Jeff Zananiri: And I think I think oil stocks remain the best actor for 2022 just my just my just a quick back of the napkin type of macro deep dive for you guys today. 210 00:31:16.650 --> 00:31:28.290 Jeff Zananiri: But I also have a presentation, I want to do because we're at the beginning of the month we're at the beginning of the month, and those of you guys that know me know that I like to do this money flow strategy so as you've seen this before right. 211 00:31:28.350 --> 00:31:33.000 Celeste Lindman: Oh, I love it I love, I look forward to the beginning of every every month. 212 00:31:33.390 --> 00:31:40.620 Jeff Zananiri: Right, so I get this I got the scanner that shows me where the money is moving at the beginning of the month. 213 00:31:41.100 --> 00:31:47.700 Jeff Zananiri: And why that's important it's like like we've been talking about August what's August, going to be like well what every month has a different texture. 214 00:31:47.910 --> 00:31:54.720 Jeff Zananiri: It has a different complexion it has a different vibe it has different bullish or bearish regime, and so I have a system that's gauged. 215 00:31:55.020 --> 00:32:01.470 Jeff Zananiri: On and predicated on that phenomenon happening just like July became the self fulfilling prophecy of being an awesome month. 216 00:32:01.740 --> 00:32:10.200 Jeff Zananiri: Will August doesn't feel like July, does it it feels different so today I want to rush you my brand new month the trades it's based on a predictable repeatable monthly phenomenon. 217 00:32:10.650 --> 00:32:16.800 Jeff Zananiri: It happens with the within the first two trading days of every month, so every month, the first day trading days. 218 00:32:17.190 --> 00:32:25.350 Jeff Zananiri: Institutions rebalance and last month we picked up on some serious serious trends, but we'll talk about that later so most people wouldn't know this unless they worked on last week. 219 00:32:25.770 --> 00:32:31.770 Jeff Zananiri: But every single month a massive flood of capital pours in a very specific funds roughly 25 billion on average. 220 00:32:32.190 --> 00:32:42.660 Jeff Zananiri: And this sudden surge of new cash forces large Wall Street institutions and funds to buy stocks, I found that Wall Street loves to dip their toes in the water on certain stocks at the beginning of the month. 221 00:32:42.990 --> 00:32:46.440 Jeff Zananiri: And if they like what they see they ride them higher and higher all month long. 222 00:32:46.890 --> 00:32:54.600 Jeff Zananiri: You just need a way to get in ahead of time or early in the game, I should say, just like in January when the markets were tanking all right, without. 223 00:32:55.260 --> 00:33:01.920 Jeff Zananiri: This straight down, you can see that error but, on the first trading day of the month, I spotted a $1.9 billion dollar money flow surjit the city. 224 00:33:02.730 --> 00:33:06.780 Jeff Zananiri: Of the first train day of the month, you see this candle here, there was 1.9 billion. 225 00:33:07.140 --> 00:33:13.260 Jeff Zananiri: flowing into city that morning so most investors we're steering clear because they just read the news and they do everything, based on what. 226 00:33:13.620 --> 00:33:23.250 Jeff Zananiri: You know the talking dipsticks on TV tell them to do or some article tells them to feel like and, if you read that you saw Citigroup failed to disclose REPS tax liens and judgments finger sets. 227 00:33:23.610 --> 00:33:34.260 Jeff Zananiri: And if you read that sitting there was being fined by finra the stock took a major hit and the bad news kept rolling in so you can office and Citigroup stock slide after capital triggers boss and buybacks seven days later. 228 00:33:34.620 --> 00:33:42.240 Jeff Zananiri: issued a negative press release in stock price credit even more but, but the $1.9 billion money was clear as debt, so what I did. 229 00:33:42.570 --> 00:33:51.060 Jeff Zananiri: was what I always do, and this is a real, this was a real recommendation so it's not hypothetical it's not a back does this is not theoretical, this was a recommendation I made in January and city. 230 00:33:51.540 --> 00:33:58.980 Jeff Zananiri: And so, and I give you a write up, I give you the ticker I give you an option interpretation of how to do it. 231 00:33:59.850 --> 00:34:04.650 Jeff Zananiri: give you the strike price the calendar a limit for how much you should pay for the contract and a target. 232 00:34:05.220 --> 00:34:10.680 Jeff Zananiri: For the month those that took action on this trailer made seven times the average yearly s&p return. 233 00:34:11.130 --> 00:34:21.360 Jeff Zananiri: 79% opportunity that's yeah seven times with the s&p does in a month we did that in city or in a year we did that and city in a month 79%. 234 00:34:21.840 --> 00:34:33.420 Jeff Zananiri: So I got this letter from a guy called Michael and he said doing great job up 60% on Citigroup last month love that stuff but the brutal market sell off didn't end there, the markets kept taking in February to. 235 00:34:33.870 --> 00:34:40.890 Jeff Zananiri: So was down and other 4.3% you remember how bad a month that was we got mostly bad much lately, so no surprise. 236 00:34:41.250 --> 00:34:45.960 Jeff Zananiri: i'm sure you remember most traders that were ready to throw in the towel at this point, but all I was focused on. 237 00:34:46.320 --> 00:34:55.290 Jeff Zananiri: Is where the next money flow is going to hit so like clockwork on the second of the month $229 floats into allegheny technologies ticker symbol ATM. 238 00:34:55.950 --> 00:35:01.410 Jeff Zananiri: And that's a massive flow for a stock like a ti they're not as big a city so 220 really moves the needle. 239 00:35:01.920 --> 00:35:09.480 Jeff Zananiri: And most importantly it really sticks out on my scanner on my system, so I sent out a trailer to all the men, the money flow elite members. 240 00:35:10.140 --> 00:35:19.950 Jeff Zananiri: boom same thing to write up the stock a way to trade, the ash Sure enough, he exploded, for the rest of the month 96% within the month. 241 00:35:20.400 --> 00:35:28.500 Jeff Zananiri: Before the end of the month 96% opportunity and it's yeah So the first two trading days of the month is one one last three tips their hands on stock, they want to accumulate. 242 00:35:29.040 --> 00:35:31.290 Jeff Zananiri: it's when the fireworks again think about. 243 00:35:32.040 --> 00:35:40.770 Jeff Zananiri: Every two weeks we're all doing something that certain sense, dark story it's got nothing to do with our trading it's got nothing to do with you know what we shop at at the mall. 244 00:35:41.070 --> 00:35:49.920 Jeff Zananiri: To have nothing to do with the bills, we pay most people don't realize it for 41% of working Americans have their paycheck set to automatically invest in their 401k. 245 00:35:50.430 --> 00:35:59.970 Jeff Zananiri: It happens without us even paying attention to every month, money is automatically getting deposit into Wall Street hands and it's going straight into the hands of big institutions and then, what do they do. 246 00:36:00.900 --> 00:36:05.280 Jeff Zananiri: They invest the money they have but they just can't throw it into the s&p 500. 247 00:36:05.610 --> 00:36:11.910 Jeff Zananiri: To see money managers get paid half the performances for beating yes, and I know how they think because i've worked with these people when I was coming up into the game. 248 00:36:12.330 --> 00:36:17.910 Jeff Zananiri: So they have to sing a lot of few stocks each month that they can write higher and higher So what did these institutions do. 249 00:36:18.420 --> 00:36:27.720 Jeff Zananiri: During the first two days of the month, they test the market it's test time where they're pumping in large amounts of capital into this Doc if they like how the stock price reacts to the massive buys. 250 00:36:28.290 --> 00:36:34.440 Jeff Zananiri: They can constantly keep on by supporting their initial position and sending the stock price higher and higher see they can't just put on a position. 251 00:36:34.710 --> 00:36:43.950 Jeff Zananiri: And $50 because they like press $50 they have so much money that's so large compared to what the liquidity of the stock is that they have to have an accumulation period where they do it. 252 00:36:44.340 --> 00:36:52.590 Jeff Zananiri: Here it happened again with vr tx trailer I sent out the trailer for money for elite Members again massive bar. 253 00:36:53.130 --> 00:37:02.520 Jeff Zananiri: On the volume corroborating this massive asset range bar for the day four times the average volume on the first day of the month, which is significant. 254 00:37:02.940 --> 00:37:06.000 Jeff Zananiri: Because it has to be an atypical amount of volume to start the month. 255 00:37:06.600 --> 00:37:16.740 Jeff Zananiri: They do this to gauge how sensitive the stock is too large purchases, so you can see i'm like a spy with this stuff like i'm looking for clues as to what these people are doing, and if you pay attention to enough. 256 00:37:17.400 --> 00:37:22.620 Jeff Zananiri: There right there in broad daylight, if everything checks out they're going to spend the rest of the month, accumulate. 257 00:37:23.160 --> 00:37:33.810 Jeff Zananiri: accumulation results in the stock price going higher and higher for the rest of the month, that was a 19% winner on the calls that must watch it happen again and again, a ti second day of the month that big flow. 258 00:37:34.830 --> 00:37:42.600 Jeff Zananiri: The calls get 96.8% one look schlumberger is big bar here once again 610 million dollar flow. 259 00:37:43.110 --> 00:37:51.090 Jeff Zananiri: The calls up to 100% in a month here's how I traffic I use a Bloomberg it's not cheap kids because 25 g's a year so don't try this at home. 260 00:37:51.390 --> 00:38:03.900 Jeff Zananiri: The terminal has a proprietary built in Alto that looks at every stock in the market scanning for the exact monthly money flow setup I just showed you both long and short short here's a behind the curtain screen shot from the best trade last year and. 261 00:38:05.100 --> 00:38:11.400 Jeff Zananiri: This is what it looks like my Bloomberg you guys saw my Bloomberg it's that cut that black screen those colors potato is number one at the top there. 262 00:38:12.360 --> 00:38:20.220 Jeff Zananiri: You can see the arrow pointing at a massive 270 million dollar money flows surged into the stock on September 2 and you see this bar again. 263 00:38:20.940 --> 00:38:31.560 Jeff Zananiri: And so, like you know i'm like sitting here like the guy from death on the Nile what's his name that that the tactic i'm looking for the key clues as to what instant the institutions are doing. 264 00:38:32.070 --> 00:38:43.440 Jeff Zananiri: Those that took the trade alert on this one, they crushed not 100% not 200% not even 300% this was a 423% game that was a monster truck in one month. 265 00:38:44.160 --> 00:38:49.620 Jeff Zananiri: And that was the best trade that it should last year, but hopefully it's clear to you at this point they're just throwing your money into the s&p. 266 00:38:50.070 --> 00:38:55.920 Jeff Zananiri: we're trading ridiculously complex strategies isn't the best way to reach your goal so it's important to timing right now it's going to be any better. 267 00:38:56.370 --> 00:39:01.110 Jeff Zananiri: we've had some of our best month since the s&p crash from its peak in January 24% down how. 268 00:39:01.590 --> 00:39:08.370 Jeff Zananiri: I have a built in hedge that's what makes the system of complete portfolio system like I like to call at the beginning of every single month. 269 00:39:08.700 --> 00:39:18.300 Jeff Zananiri: I issue six standard money flow trade alerts, just like the ones I showed you today, but because of the year, being the way it is with the extreme volatility in the markets bearish bearish moves. 270 00:39:19.080 --> 00:39:28.020 Jeff Zananiri: I had job those six trades with three strategic short positions we look for the exact setup I just showed you accept and play the inverse to the short side. 271 00:39:28.350 --> 00:39:35.310 Jeff Zananiri: You see there's reverse flow, so I can see where institutions are getting out of stocks, I call it a money slope flushed here's what it looked like in January. 272 00:39:36.000 --> 00:39:40.590 Jeff Zananiri: This was the live January, this is the actual wins and losses from january's recommendations. 273 00:39:41.010 --> 00:39:50.730 Jeff Zananiri: Total profit loss and $5,000 $3,861 guys winners and losers right important to be attached to that that's when the market was crashing. 274 00:39:51.210 --> 00:40:03.570 Jeff Zananiri: Right so as the markets crashed our hedged put in the gx paid 352% watch it happen again in February nice overall at point 2% gain on both the money flow trades and the hedge positions. 275 00:40:04.410 --> 00:40:17.280 Jeff Zananiri: puts calls paid puts paid, and it was 4005 thousand in a month March two massive wins on the hedges from 156% at 285% not just saving the portfolio. 276 00:40:17.700 --> 00:40:25.770 Jeff Zananiri: But delivered a 27% overall again in the month no I can't promise you that every month we're going to see this massive success but here's why it's critical you take action to. 277 00:40:26.280 --> 00:40:32.490 Jeff Zananiri: When i've seen being hedged you got to be truly hatched you can't diversify by buying Raytheon or Lockheed Martin. 278 00:40:32.880 --> 00:40:40.650 Jeff Zananiri: The great companies, I love those companies but that's not being hashed there's still stocks to trade in the market, so if you're long those stocks, you have long exposure. 279 00:40:40.980 --> 00:40:46.230 Jeff Zananiri: So over the past few months i've seen many traders blow their accounts trying to switch read shorter time frames long. 280 00:40:46.770 --> 00:40:49.980 Jeff Zananiri: The number one mistake, they made was not having hedges not having a head strategy. 281 00:40:50.400 --> 00:41:01.950 Jeff Zananiri: Please don't be one of these traders instead harness that market volatility gain an edge in your trading by tracking institutional money flow look at some of the top winners, I need a drink of water cuz i'm talking so much. 282 00:41:02.610 --> 00:41:03.840 Celeste Lindman: This is fantastic. 283 00:41:03.840 --> 00:41:12.120 Celeste Lindman: Content thanks so much it's just exciting every time you share this I love it love it and a lot of people in the chat are chatting it up to how much they love this program. 284 00:41:12.240 --> 00:41:21.570 Jeff Zananiri: Oh that's awesome so look at these size of some of these winner Celeste 240% on Paris in June, and this is all recent history, this is chill hot this last month July. 285 00:41:22.260 --> 00:41:30.450 Jeff Zananiri: 76% l&r 88% on airbnb we even caught wind of the Amazon being re accumulated by institutions, which was a hot. 286 00:41:30.810 --> 00:41:37.140 Jeff Zananiri: This is a very, very plain vanilla boring stock but if you're there when the big moves are happening that's that's the name of the game. 287 00:41:37.500 --> 00:41:43.980 Jeff Zananiri: So today is your chance to get an online brand new money flow trades just came out this week the just triggering my Bloomberg scanner. 288 00:41:44.280 --> 00:41:52.230 Jeff Zananiri: Inside my premium trading service called money flow elite you get nine trades on average per month, sometimes I throw in an extra one if it meets the rigid criteria. 289 00:41:52.830 --> 00:42:02.220 Jeff Zananiri: And my scanner I give you the entry the exit the stock an option it's an option way to play it everything that I believe you need to succeed, starting with the first trade alerts today. 290 00:42:02.940 --> 00:42:06.750 Jeff Zananiri: they're fresh i'm going to kick start your money flow only experience with. 291 00:42:07.170 --> 00:42:12.540 Jeff Zananiri: How to trade global money flows with options, so we answer all your questions we cover everything from how to enter the trade. 292 00:42:12.840 --> 00:42:21.330 Jeff Zananiri: To maximize gains and use options leverage how to use the controlled sizing to hit puts to tab bearish positions you're not just shorting stocks. 293 00:42:21.720 --> 00:42:25.740 Jeff Zananiri: it's much easier to control your risk when you buy puts i'll be there to help you hit the ground running. 294 00:42:26.100 --> 00:42:30.720 Jeff Zananiri: I give you a view videos I just did a bunch of this morning I send them out every week people love them. 295 00:42:31.110 --> 00:42:36.150 Jeff Zananiri: I give you my inside thinking that some of the same way I just didn't ask the pros I do it in a longer format. 296 00:42:36.570 --> 00:42:40.740 Jeff Zananiri: For the system for the markets for macro stuff I think it's an unfair advantage. 297 00:42:41.190 --> 00:42:47.580 Jeff Zananiri: On what people you know for people to see what i'm thinking what's going to come next in the market and it keeps an open conversation between me and you. 298 00:42:48.120 --> 00:42:54.630 Jeff Zananiri: So you're also going to get 24 seven secure access from anywhere in the world we've got a really slick members portal. 299 00:42:54.930 --> 00:43:00.990 Jeff Zananiri: you're going to have all these courses, the alerts today, of course, it's everything under secure portal just for you, and then, once a month. 300 00:43:01.830 --> 00:43:09.630 Jeff Zananiri: We get training calls and we talked about anything people can ask me about you know why family's, the most important thing in the world. 301 00:43:10.620 --> 00:43:18.810 Jeff Zananiri: If gasoline is going to be $6 a gallon or $2 a gallon in December, another bet that i'm willing to make with anyone on this chat board. 302 00:43:19.470 --> 00:43:29.070 Jeff Zananiri: We could talk about the losers in the strategy because they're going to be losers losers and all strategies and I don't shy away from them, we could talk about the big winners, we could talk about future catalysts that are coming up. 303 00:43:30.000 --> 00:43:40.320 Jeff Zananiri: At everything and I and there's nothing I won't answer and I usually have an opinion it's not always right, but i'm pretty opinionated guy so we get these calls, we have this combo and it's awesome it's really awesome. 304 00:43:40.920 --> 00:43:43.980 Jeff Zananiri: And yes, it's 100% live every month, so you're really talking to me. 305 00:43:44.460 --> 00:43:51.390 Jeff Zananiri: While the tapping you also get a special bonus reverse money flows, I was describing to you, I can tell when institutions are shorting stocks. 306 00:43:51.690 --> 00:43:59.310 Jeff Zananiri: or just puking their positions getting out at the beginning of the month because they're simultaneously taking some of this off and buying some of this so they have to make room. 307 00:43:59.760 --> 00:44:08.280 Jeff Zananiri: So take a look for yourself, or some of the top students have said about the strategy, but started in January that month paid for his entire subscription nice job but. 308 00:44:08.730 --> 00:44:15.570 Jeff Zananiri: Ray age The great thing about Jeff scan that is that's recent big boy flow i'm not looking for the little muppet retail crowded with a big institutional. 309 00:44:15.990 --> 00:44:22.260 Jeff Zananiri: Funds what they're doing not chasing crowded multiple trades Brett made 44% in January with the system. 310 00:44:22.620 --> 00:44:29.160 Jeff Zananiri: very satisfied so reuben Those are some of the best stories i've heard from my students who follow my various strategies and fast and they all have one thing in common. 311 00:44:29.580 --> 00:44:35.160 Jeff Zananiri: And they saw action they saw an opportunity they took action you got to take action in this life right. 312 00:44:35.580 --> 00:44:45.450 Jeff Zananiri: So remember these brand new trading alerts that just posted and you can get your first nine trailers right now normally it's $1,997 to join money for leads for an entire year. 313 00:44:45.810 --> 00:44:52.410 Jeff Zananiri: But I had my team do something really special for you, those of you that are here right now, you have to be here right now to get the deal that we're about to show you. 314 00:44:52.980 --> 00:44:55.680 Jeff Zananiri: I convinced them to slash the price so low that it's a no brainer. 315 00:44:56.670 --> 00:45:04.800 Jeff Zananiri: Because you're here right now, not going to see that almost $2,000 price point you're not going to see thousand dollar number is $497 you ready. 316 00:45:05.130 --> 00:45:12.600 Jeff Zananiri: Nine trades, are waiting for you $97 special bundle price in the first 997 bucks This is like. 317 00:45:13.080 --> 00:45:18.750 Jeff Zananiri: I mean try taking five kids I mean, I have three kids I count my account my wife and myself as kids talk track. 318 00:45:19.110 --> 00:45:27.450 Jeff Zananiri: for taking a family of five out to applebee's for $97 see what happens you're going to get them will leave at 97 bucks about 10 bucks a tray. 319 00:45:28.170 --> 00:45:37.650 Jeff Zananiri: Right $10 a trade I when I look at it, like in that regard, I feel like very, very cheap, which I don't like to feel but um it's a super value for you guys and guess what. 320 00:45:38.130 --> 00:45:45.120 Jeff Zananiri: 30 days from now, if y'all hit it give us a call we're not going to handle you we give you every penny back and guess who's pocket that comes out. 321 00:45:45.510 --> 00:45:52.050 Jeff Zananiri: It comes directly out of my pocket yours true so i'm betting on myself every month by doing this, every month i'm betting on myself. 322 00:45:52.410 --> 00:45:55.740 Jeff Zananiri: But i've always bet on myself that's what you're supposed to do, if you want to be a winner in this world. 323 00:45:56.160 --> 00:46:08.550 Jeff Zananiri: times are tough so i'm doing everything I can do to help you guys out 97 bucks go to wordpress COM forward slash flows call 877-212-2649 and talk to chip. 324 00:46:09.090 --> 00:46:18.510 Jeff Zananiri: Talk to our the man and they'll they'll walk you through it, if you if you don't want to log in online, which is very easy to do super low price for your first run of trades, but here's the catch. 325 00:46:19.050 --> 00:46:31.200 Jeff Zananiri: The special deal, you have to be a right now for it, you trade your pot i'd hate for you to walk in and the next week it's too late, a lot of the traits that are running so take action day get in there, and please guys on my team. 326 00:46:32.340 --> 00:46:35.700 Jeff Zananiri: Add to the chat the link to join if you all can. 327 00:46:36.180 --> 00:46:43.230 Celeste Lindman: Yes, the link is in there and and da if you could post that in there again to some people will see it it's all fresh in their chat there and. 328 00:46:43.440 --> 00:46:47.550 Celeste Lindman: What an incredible deal $97 to get all of that content from Jeff. 329 00:46:47.790 --> 00:46:55.860 Celeste Lindman: And you know some of your questions like you all were asking earlier, I know there, I know, Miss over a semiconductor question I know about you know inflation and energy prices. 330 00:46:56.100 --> 00:47:05.340 Celeste Lindman: But you as Jeff said you get to get in there and ask those questions to him, specifically, and it won't be the quick answer that you get here on ask the pros because we're limited in that time. 331 00:47:05.550 --> 00:47:11.310 Celeste Lindman: you'll get his ball understand full analysis on all of those things, but there are a couple questions I Jeff for. 332 00:47:11.310 --> 00:47:12.360 Jeff Zananiri: You yeah. 333 00:47:12.870 --> 00:47:16.500 Celeste Lindman: Two questions is this is this monthly a monthly price. 334 00:47:16.530 --> 00:47:18.390 Jeff Zananiri: The monthly price, but you get. 335 00:47:18.480 --> 00:47:21.090 Jeff Zananiri: an option if you're here today to upgrade to. 336 00:47:22.230 --> 00:47:31.770 Jeff Zananiri: upgrade full year and I think it's you know, half of what a normal year would be to do the full year and about half of what it would cost if you just want every month. 337 00:47:32.130 --> 00:47:40.890 Jeff Zananiri: But at 97 bucks it's worth a shot to try for those of you guys are experiencing tightness in the economy, I know, things have changed rapidly, I know that, like. 338 00:47:41.700 --> 00:47:49.080 Jeff Zananiri: The talking heads on TV that are like living this life limousine liberal upper East side existence don't care if a latte suddenly cost $15. 339 00:47:49.440 --> 00:48:01.380 Jeff Zananiri: But for the rest of us families kids classifieds everything matters everything matters so try for 97 bucks less than 10 bucks a trade or 10 bucks a trade and. 340 00:48:02.460 --> 00:48:06.300 Jeff Zananiri: yeah I mean this is good as i'm going to ever do trying to help people get these types of trades. 341 00:48:07.890 --> 00:48:08.220 Jeff Zananiri: yeah. 342 00:48:08.400 --> 00:48:13.350 Jeff Zananiri: I stand by the system it's up it's done really well this year when the rest of the market has not so. 343 00:48:13.560 --> 00:48:18.240 Jeff Zananiri: I stand by that I stand by those recommendations, that is, the average win rate was 42.8%. 344 00:48:18.870 --> 00:48:33.480 Jeff Zananiri: return for traders 29.2% winners and losers Celeste yeah right, this is real talk and there's not like back tested, these are liquid stocks average price things you can trade, and so this is what it is. 345 00:48:33.750 --> 00:48:40.890 Celeste Lindman: A couple other questions you know what's the size of an account, do you think someone would need he's got nine trades, how much do they need to put in for all those trades. 346 00:48:41.520 --> 00:48:49.620 Jeff Zananiri: I would like to say that people need at least a few thousand dollars $3,000 or something to that effect, I mean if you don't have and that's got to be you know. 347 00:48:49.830 --> 00:48:54.090 Jeff Zananiri: The site, but you don't have to do all the positions, if you want to do all the positions it'll run you about that. 348 00:48:54.600 --> 00:49:08.040 Jeff Zananiri: The average position size about $400 so you know I have people who cherry pick to do a few of the belongs if you're the shorts they don't do them all they don't want to follow nine but i'm just adding value all over the place, with nine trades so. 349 00:49:08.670 --> 00:49:09.990 Jeff Zananiri: do with it what you will. 350 00:49:10.500 --> 00:49:16.200 Celeste Lindman: Not following a couple other questions are these debit spreads credit spreads long calls long cuts, what are they. 351 00:49:16.950 --> 00:49:27.030 Jeff Zananiri: Know we're just taking a strength we're buying calls and we're buying puts we're just going straight up or making a bet on the stock and I just use options for that period of time, just to get leverage and not the money i'm liquid. 352 00:49:27.600 --> 00:49:34.710 Jeff Zananiri: And in the liquid names and you know our bet is an online some some some sort of like distortion in the options market. 353 00:49:35.100 --> 00:49:47.280 Jeff Zananiri: or bet is on the stock market and individual cash equities that that trend is going to continue throughout the month and just yeah glenna Santa trade one lot he tested and scale up as you grow that's how you do a blend. 354 00:49:47.580 --> 00:49:49.350 Jeff Zananiri: that's how you do it that's my guy. 355 00:49:50.070 --> 00:49:50.520 Jeff Zananiri: That guy. 356 00:49:51.480 --> 00:49:52.590 Jeff Zananiri: Since the beginning of time. 357 00:49:52.650 --> 00:50:00.630 Jeff Zananiri: Since the dawn of man and he's still here talking about the program so that tells you all you need to know Glenn Glenn Reynolds if you don't mind me saying your name Glenn. 358 00:50:01.050 --> 00:50:11.550 Jeff Zananiri: was one of my original students and subscribers two years ago that I that i've joined wealth breast and he's still here today talking about all the systems rock so. 359 00:50:12.600 --> 00:50:15.300 Jeff Zananiri: If you don't mind me saying that that's the reality of the situation. 360 00:50:16.410 --> 00:50:26.220 Celeste Lindman: Absolutely great thanks for that hey another question about some of your your subscribers are wanting to know if they can get this great deal and add it to their current subscription. 361 00:50:27.270 --> 00:50:34.710 Jeff Zananiri: yeah call up that call them up there, we want to help you all, and we want to give you guys a deal to call us at 877222649. 362 00:50:35.190 --> 00:50:46.800 Jeff Zananiri: we're going to hook you up you're my people, I want to take care of so yeah we could do stuff but today's the day you've got this deal is for today it's not for Saturday or Sunday today so yeah. 363 00:50:47.160 --> 00:50:55.650 Celeste Lindman: Good day definitely today is the day, because this is the first full week of August and you've heard you've heard mark a say you her justice say you heard you heard Jeff. 364 00:50:56.190 --> 00:51:06.570 Celeste Lindman: say how they look at these first couple of days of the month, they look at this first kind of timing, we can use some parameters Jeff has that special program that he's paid lots of money for to get that insight into the market. 365 00:51:06.780 --> 00:51:10.500 Celeste Lindman: And that's how he comes up with these trades and he does it at the beginning of each month, so. 366 00:51:10.710 --> 00:51:17.910 Celeste Lindman: Time is of the essence it's easy to do you're going to go there to the website you're going to pick up the phone you're going to call and you're instantly going to get linked up. 367 00:51:18.060 --> 00:51:27.840 Celeste Lindman: And into the Members area and able to put on those trades, right now, before the market closes today and then just watch how it all generates the income on those hedge. 368 00:51:28.170 --> 00:51:32.370 Celeste Lindman: trades, as well as the whole portfolio it's a great way to look at the market The other thing. 369 00:51:32.670 --> 00:51:41.790 Celeste Lindman: That I love about this program that it does for me and my trading is that it does it sets the tone i'm prepared for the month what to look for what to watch out for. 370 00:51:42.000 --> 00:51:48.030 Celeste Lindman: It just it helps me and all my other trainings as well, so I think it's a great program a lot of people typed in how much they love it. 371 00:51:48.270 --> 00:51:58.920 Celeste Lindman: So I think it's a no brainer you go there for $97 what a heck of a deal to get that kind of insight from this professional trader who's been through a lot of ups and downs so. 372 00:51:59.160 --> 00:52:07.260 Celeste Lindman: don't hesitate just go right there to wealth press COM slash lowes or pick up the phone talk to somebody you love the people there that you work with. 373 00:52:07.530 --> 00:52:15.930 Celeste Lindman: At wealth press a 772122649 get on the right side of the market, this is a new month it's August we had a crazy month. 374 00:52:16.230 --> 00:52:24.930 Celeste Lindman: A stellar month in July what's going to happen we've laid it out for you, given you some scenarios why don't you fine tune it and be on the right side and make some money with it so. 375 00:52:24.990 --> 00:52:34.980 Jeff Zananiri: yeah I mean if you liked the way i'm looking at the markets in the way I went through the markets and my analysis and stuff and this sounds like an intelligent way to interact with the markets yeah I think $97 will be shot. 376 00:52:35.460 --> 00:52:39.090 Jeff Zananiri: So thank you for your time, thank you for allowing me to do that presentation, I hope it in for you. 377 00:52:39.600 --> 00:52:50.190 Celeste Lindman: yeah it was great it was an excellent presentation, so thank you so much, and hey so make sure y'all go right there and get signed up get involved with Jeff seminary and. 378 00:52:50.490 --> 00:52:55.620 Celeste Lindman: hey I want to also let you know that in a few minutes you're going to get to hear from lance. 379 00:52:56.070 --> 00:53:01.890 Celeste Lindman: You know another person that works there with with justin and Ari and router Scott talked about them. 380 00:53:02.220 --> 00:53:07.440 Celeste Lindman: And how they share insights together lance has been using an indicator really since Kobe. 381 00:53:07.710 --> 00:53:15.990 Celeste Lindman: And it has helped him to call kind of you know movements in the market and he's going to share exactly how he's doing that the whole education on that you're gonna love it. 382 00:53:16.200 --> 00:53:25.170 Celeste Lindman: it's phenomenal it's coming right up next at one o'clock we're going to put the link in the chat there, so you can just boogie on over there as well, and. 383 00:53:25.530 --> 00:53:38.820 Celeste Lindman: For the few minutes in between, you can get connected with justin and Ari get started there you're going to still have time to put on all those trades and make it a great weekend so make sure we get that link posted there for. 384 00:53:39.810 --> 00:53:46.680 Celeste Lindman: lance yep it's in there, so great well thanks everybody for joining us mark, I hope you feel better and better and better you did a great job. 385 00:53:47.850 --> 00:53:51.900 Celeste Lindman: so good, and nobody would know that you were sick, so thank you. 386 00:53:53.160 --> 00:53:55.890 Markay Latimer: My nice voice Thank you guys. 387 00:53:56.460 --> 00:53:58.830 Celeste Lindman: it's great justin thanks for joining us. 388 00:53:59.370 --> 00:54:01.980 Geof Smith: thanks for having me enjoy it all right. 389 00:54:02.220 --> 00:54:14.130 Celeste Lindman: Just in an area, what a perfect word in with you know enjoy the trade, so we enjoyed all being here with all of you, and hope that you'll take advantage of these great opportunities and have a great weekend we'll see you all next week. 390 00:54:15.660 --> 00:54:16.170 Jeff Zananiri: bye bye. 391 00:54:17.970 --> 00:54:18.210 yeah.